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Stephen Roach Quotes

«I fully expect that the Chinese officials will address these tension points, but will not waver from their steadfast commitment on a medium- to longer-term basis of an open capital account and currency convertibility.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«There is good reason to believe that a sharp weakening in the value of the U.S. currency is essential to the global rebalancing that must begin to take place if the world's current account imbalances are to be corrected.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«I honestly believe that if China were to revalue [its currency] upward by 10 percent -- a change I do not expect nor advise -- its exports would suffer minimal loss of market share.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«To the extent such a payback is likely after the current spending burst, it could act as a sharp depressant on overall demand growth in subsequent quarters. That development, in the context of a lingering jobless recovery, could raise serious questions about the staying power of America's current cyclical resurgence.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«It doesn't get much cheerier than that.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«2005 was a year that has lulled a lot of investors, policymakers and government officials into a dangerous and false sense of complacency.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«The risk is that he will be blind-sided, as his predecessors were, very early in his tenure by something he is not all that well prepared for and by something that the markets do not have confidence in him for.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«When he leaves ... he will take away 18 years of confidence the markets have invested in him.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«There's a little bit of a sign of rust but no sign of bust in the U.S. property market. The weakest link of the global economy in 2006 is the U.S. consumer.»
Author: Stephen Roach
«The major risk to the global economy is complacency. We cannot keep thinking that we can shrug off the deficit and the property bubble.»
Author: Stephen Roach

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