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Good news on jobs in America may have troubling repercussions for emerging markets IN FINANCE as in medicine, prevention is better than cure. The International Monetary Fund's Global Financial Stability report, published on Tuesday April 6th, is the equivalent of a twice-yearly check-up for the international financial system. At the moment, the system seems to be in rude health, the report says. The IMF does worry, however, that proper precautions for the future are not …

…emerging markets do fall out of favour with foreign investors, their exchange rates can take some of the strain. The IMF is still worried, however. "Valuations on emerging-market bonds, especially sub-investment grade bonds, appear vulnerable to an increase in underlying US treasury yields," it says. As the Fund points out, the notion that this time it's different has led many an over-optimistic soul to repeat this time exactly the same mistakes he made last time.